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Apple just proved AI "reasoning" models like Claude, DeepSeek-R1, and o3-mini don't actually reason at all. They just memorize patterns really well.

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  • Right now the hype from most is finding issues with chatgpt

    hype noun (1)

    publicity

    especially : promotional publicity of an extravagant or contrived kind

    You're abusing the meaning of "hype" in order to make the two sides appear the same, because you do understand that "hype" really describes the pro-AI discourse much better.

    It did find the fallacies based on what it was asked to do.

    It didn't. Put the text of your comment back into GPT and tell it to argue why the fallacies are misidentified.

    You act like this is fire and forget.

    But you did fire and forget it. I don't even think you read the output yourself.

    First I wanted to be honest with the output and not modify it.

    Or maybe you were just lazy?

    Personally I'm starting to find these copy-pasted AI responses to be insulting. It has the "let me Google that for you" sort of smugness around it. I can put in the text in ChatGPT myself and get the same shitty output, you know. If you can't be bothered to improve it, then there's absolutely no point in pasting it.

    Given what this output gave me, I can easily keep working this to get better and better arguments.

    That doesn't sound terribly efficient. Polishing a turd, as they say. These great successes of AI are never actually visible or demonstrated, they're always put off - the tech isn't quite there yet, but it's just around the corner, just you wait, just one more round of asking the AI to elaborate, just one more round of polishing the turd, just a bit more faith on the unbelievers' part...

    I just feel like you can’t honestly tell me that within 10 seconds having that summary is not beneficial.

    Oh sure I can tell you that, assuming that your argumentative goals are remotely honest and you're not just posting stupid AI-generated criticism to waste my time. You didn't even notice one banal way in which AI misinterpreted my comment (I didn't say SMBC is bad), and you'd probably just accept that misreading in your own supposed rewrite of the text. Misleading summaries that you have to spend additional time and effort double checking for these subtle or not so subtle failures are NOT beneficial.

    Ok let's give a test here. Let's start with understand logic. Give me a paragraph and let's see if it can find any logical fallacies. You can provide the paragraph. Only constraint is that the context has to exist within the paragraph.

  • I think because it's language.

    There's a famous quote from Charles Babbage when he presented his difference engine (gear based calculator) and someone asking "if you put in the wrong figures, will the correct ones be output" and Babbage not understanding how someone can so thoroughly misunderstand that the machine is, just a machine.

    People are people, the main thing that's changed since the Cuneiform copper customer complaint is our materials science and networking ability. Most things that people interact with every day, most people just assume work like it appears to on the surface.

    And nothing other than a person can do math problems or talk back to you. So people assume that means intelligence.

    "if you put in the wrong figures, will the correct ones be output"

    To be fair, an 1840 “computer” might be able to tell there was something wrong with the figures and ask about it or even correct them herself.

    Babbage was being a bit obtuse there; people weren't familiar with computing machines yet. Computer was a job, and computers were expected to be fairly intelligent.

    In fact I'd say that if anything this question shows that the questioner understood enough about the new machine to realise it was not the same as they understood a computer to be, and lacked many of their abilities, and was just looking for Babbage to confirm their suspicions.

  • While both Markov models and LLMs forget information outside their window, that’s where the similarity ends. A Markov model relies on fixed transition probabilities and treats the past as a chain of discrete states. An LLM evaluates every token in relation to every other using learned, high-dimensional attention patterns that shift dynamically based on meaning, position, and structure.

    Changing one word in the input can shift the model’s output dramatically by altering how attention layers interpret relationships across the entire sequence. It’s a fundamentally richer computation that captures syntax, semantics, and even task intent, which a Markov chain cannot model regardless of how much context it sees.

    an llm also works on fixed transition probabilities. All the training is done during the generation of the weights, which are the compressed state transition table. After that, it's just a regular old markov chain. I don't know why you seem so fixated on getting different output if you provide different input (as I said, each token generated is a separate independent invocation of the llm with a different input). That is true of most computer programs.

    It's just an implementation detail. The markov chains we are used to has a very short context, due to combinatorial explosion when generating the state transition table. With llms, we can use a much much longer context. Put that context in, it runs through the completely immutable model, and out comes a probability distribution. Any calculations done during the calculation of this probability distribution is then discarded, the chosen token added to the context, and the program is run again with zero prior knowledge of any reasoning about the token it just generated. It's a seperate execution with absolutely nothing shared between them, so there can't be any "adapting" going on

  • Most humans don't reason. They just parrot shit too. The design is very human.

    Thata why ceo love them. When your job is 90% spewing bs a machine that does that is impressive

  • You either an llm, or don't know how your brain works.

    LLMs don't know how how they work

  • Yeah, well there are a ton of people literally falling into psychosis, led by LLMs. So it’s unfortunately not that many people that already knew it.

    Dude they made chat gpt a little more boit licky and now many people are convinced they are literal messiahs. All it took for them was a chat bot and a few hours of talk.

  • LLMs (at least in their current form) are proper neural networks.

    Well, technically, yes. You're right. But they're a specific, narrow type of neural network, while I was thinking of the broader class and more traditional applications, like data analysis. I should have been more specific.

  • Fucking obviously. Until Data's positronic brains becomes reality, AI is not actual intelligence.

    AI is not A I. I should make that a tshirt.

    It’s an expensive carbon spewing parrot.

  • "if you put in the wrong figures, will the correct ones be output"

    To be fair, an 1840 “computer” might be able to tell there was something wrong with the figures and ask about it or even correct them herself.

    Babbage was being a bit obtuse there; people weren't familiar with computing machines yet. Computer was a job, and computers were expected to be fairly intelligent.

    In fact I'd say that if anything this question shows that the questioner understood enough about the new machine to realise it was not the same as they understood a computer to be, and lacked many of their abilities, and was just looking for Babbage to confirm their suspicions.

    "Computer" meaning a mechanical/electro-mechanical/electrical machine wasn't used until around after WWII.

    Babbag's difference/analytical engines weren't confusing because people called them a computer, they didn't.

    "On two occasions I have been asked, 'Pray, Mr. Babbage, if you put into the machine wrong figures, will the right answers come out?' I am not able rightly to apprehend the kind of confusion of ideas that could provoke such a question."

    • Charles Babbage

    If you give any computer, human or machine, random numbers, it will not give you "correct answers".

    It's possible Babbage lacked the social skills to detect sarcasm. We also have several high profile cases of people just trusting LLMs to file legal briefs and official government 'studies' because the LLM "said it was real".

  • LOOK MAA I AM ON FRONT PAGE

    I think it's important to note (i'm not an llm I know that phrase triggers you to assume I am) that they haven't proven this as an inherent architectural issue, which I think would be the next step to the assertion.

    do we know that they don't and are incapable of reasoning, or do we just know that for x problems they jump to memorized solutions, is it possible to create an arrangement of weights that can genuinely reason, even if the current models don't? That's the big question that needs answered. It's still possible that we just haven't properly incentivized reason over memorization during training.

    if someone can objectively answer "no" to that, the bubble collapses.

  • LOOK MAA I AM ON FRONT PAGE

    What's hilarious/sad is the response to this article over on reddit's "singularity" sub, in which all the top comments are people who've obviously never got all the way through a research paper in their lives all trashing Apple and claiming their researchers don't understand AI or "reasoning". It's a weird cult.

  • LOOK MAA I AM ON FRONT PAGE

    NOOOOOOOOO

    SHIIIIIIIIIITT

    SHEEERRRLOOOOOOCK

  • Most humans don't reason. They just parrot shit too. The design is very human.

    I hate this analogy. As a throwaway whimsical quip it'd be fine, but it's specious enough that I keep seeing it used earnestly by people who think that LLMs are in any way sentient or conscious, so it's lowered my tolerance for it as a topic even if you did intend it flippantly.

  • NOOOOOOOOO

    SHIIIIIIIIIITT

    SHEEERRRLOOOOOOCK

    Extept for Siri, right? Lol

  • Extept for Siri, right? Lol

    Apple Intelligence

  • It’s an expensive carbon spewing parrot.

    It's a very resource intensive autocomplete

  • Fair, but the same is true of me. I don't actually "reason"; I just have a set of algorithms memorized by which I propose a pattern that seems like it might match the situation, then a different pattern by which I break the situation down into smaller components and then apply patterns to those components. I keep the process up for a while. If I find a "nasty logic error" pattern match at some point in the process, I "know" I've found a "flaw in the argument" or "bug in the design".

    But there's no from-first-principles method by which I developed all these patterns; it's just things that have survived the test of time when other patterns have failed me.

    I don't think people are underestimating the power of LLMs to think; I just think people are overestimating the power of humans to do anything other than language prediction and sensory pattern prediction.

    This whole era of AI has certainly pushed the brink to existential crisis territory. I think some are even frightened to entertain the prospect that we may not be all that much better than meat machines who on a basic level do pattern matching drawing from the sum total of individual life experience (aka the dataset).

    Higher reasoning is taught to humans. We have the capability. That's why we spend the first quarter of our lives in education. Sometimes not all of us are able.

    I'm sure it would certainly make waves if researchers did studies based on whether dumber humans are any different than AI.

  • LOOK MAA I AM ON FRONT PAGE

    I see a lot of misunderstandings in the comments 🫤

    This is a pretty important finding for researchers, and it's not obvious by any means. This finding is not showing a problem with LLMs' abilities in general. The issue they discovered is specifically for so-called "reasoning models" that iterate on their answer before replying. It might indicate that the training process is not sufficient for true reasoning.

    Most reasoning models are not incentivized to think correctly, and are only rewarded based on their final answer. This research might indicate that's a flaw that needs to be corrected before models can actually reason.

  • an llm also works on fixed transition probabilities. All the training is done during the generation of the weights, which are the compressed state transition table. After that, it's just a regular old markov chain. I don't know why you seem so fixated on getting different output if you provide different input (as I said, each token generated is a separate independent invocation of the llm with a different input). That is true of most computer programs.

    It's just an implementation detail. The markov chains we are used to has a very short context, due to combinatorial explosion when generating the state transition table. With llms, we can use a much much longer context. Put that context in, it runs through the completely immutable model, and out comes a probability distribution. Any calculations done during the calculation of this probability distribution is then discarded, the chosen token added to the context, and the program is run again with zero prior knowledge of any reasoning about the token it just generated. It's a seperate execution with absolutely nothing shared between them, so there can't be any "adapting" going on

    Because transformer architecture is not equivalent to a probabilistic lookup. A Markov chain assigns probabilities based on a fixed-order state transition, without regard to deeper structure or token relationships. An LLM processes the full context through many layers of non-linear functions and attention heads, each layer dynamically weighting how each token influences every other token.

    Although weights do not change during inference, the behavior of the model is not fixed in the way a Markov chain’s state table is. The same model can respond differently to very similar prompts, not just because the inputs differ, but because the model interprets structure, syntax, and intent in ways that are contextually dependent. That is not just longer context-it is fundamentally more expressive computation.

    The process is stateless across calls, yes, but it is not blind. All relevant information lives inside the prompt, and the model uses the attention mechanism to extract meaning from relationships across the sequence. Each new input changes the internal representation, so the output reflects contextual reasoning, not a static response to a matching pattern. Markov chains cannot replicate this kind of behavior no matter how many states they include.

  • LOOK MAA I AM ON FRONT PAGE

    So, what your saying here is that the A in AI actually stands for artificial, and it's not really intelligent and reasoning.

    Huh.

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