I think it was Guy Kawasaki in 1997 who introduced me to the idea of eating your own dog food. In other words, use your own product.

Given how much Altman is pushing this dog and pony show, I'm happy to trust ChatGPT with his medical fate, which will no doubt reveal just how much this AI is Assumed Intelligence, or in less technical terms, snake oil.

I want him to live in the same world we would where anytime you need help with anything you need to go through multiple layers of poorly scripted chatbots to get to a real person that has to work through their poorly written script to escalate up 5 chains to do the thing you need help with.

"Some jobs will be totally, totally gone (but not mine). You can totally trust AI to make the same or better medical decisions than professionals (but I wouldn't)!"

LLMs are text generators. They are not computational or analytical engines. If you need words (Copy Writer), it could conceivably do most of that job. It is not the right tool for making actual decisions. There are other machine learning models that can handle those things better than an LLM. Conceivably at some point these things can be run together to handle the language processing and data analysis separately. They're not quite there yet.

It’s definitely going to put sci-fi authors who write about A.G.I. out of work or at least make them add 1,000 years to their timeline.

I wouldn’t trust ChatGPT either, but I don’t think it’s designed for medical uses to begin with.

There are AI engines used in medical fields and they can be advantageous in making connections that we haven’t found before. But ChatGPT ain’t it.

I still think they should have gotten a goofier looking spokesman.

And with his job? Apparently one where AI is most suited for.

Expert systems are a great example of AI perfectly stored for medical applications. A hallucinating chatbot has very limited utility, even where such technology is already in use; one of my wife's physicians' Dax Copilot likes to invent inaccurate details, for example.

Samuel Cultman and his search for a suitable application.

AI is great at spitting out large amounts of wordy bullshit.

I know at least one Jobs that is gone. That's Steve Jobs.

AI would be great at replacing CEOs and upper management. Inane ideas that have no basis in reality. Slowing down the process by shoving their nose into things they have no business being involved in and trying to fix them when they ha e no idea what they are doing. Making regrettable remarks/decisions/actions on social media and bringing ire upon the company.

All these would be gone with AI at the helm, profits would be through the roof, executive costs would drop off a cliff, productivity would be up. Heck, they'd likely actually treat their workers fairly because they understand data and how to correlate it into action. AI can schmooze with the best of them and kiss the ass of anyone who needs it. I can't think of a negative reason not to replace CEOs with AI immediately!

He's full of nothing but hype and bullshit. Yes, the tech can do some interesting things. No, it's not about to eat the world. But his company, which bleeds money every month, desperately needs you to think so to ensure further investments to keep them afloat until they find the next tantalizing thing that also isn't AGI.

Anyone interested in this angle should checkout the newsletter and / or podcast of Ed Zitron.