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Iran Disables GPS, Joins China’s Beidou — The End of U.S. Satellite Dominance? [19:23 | JUN 28 2025 | GVS Deep Dive]

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  • cross-posted from: https://lemmy.world/post/32183144

    Generated Summary below:


    Video Description:

    Iran has just shut off GPS across its territory — and switched to China’s Beidou satellite system. Why now? What does it mean for U.S. dominance in space-based navigation and warfare?
    In this episode of GVS Deep Dive, Najma Minhas unpacks Iran’s bold strategic pivot — and why it may mark the beginning of the end for America’s global GPS monopoly. From WhatsApp tracking scandals and drone warfare to China’s high-precision Beidou system and Belt & Road integration, this decision carries major military and geopolitical consequences.

    Watch till the end to understand:
    Why GPS was always a tool of U.S. soft power

    How the 1996 Taiwan Strait crisis pushed China to develop Beidou

    What makes Beidou uniquely powerful in battlefield environments

    How Iran and the Global South are quietly building independence from Western tech

    Will more countries ditch GPS and align with China’s Beidou system?

    #GVSDeepDive #Beidou #IranGPS #ChinaTech #Geopolitics #SatelliteWars

    Do give your comments below. Subscribe and Share our video.

    Najma tweets @MinhasNajma

    Najma Minhas is Managing Editor, Global Village Space. She has worked with National Economic Research Associates (NERA) in New York, Lehman Brothers in London and Standard Chartered Bank in Pakistan. Before launching GVS, she worked as a consultant with World Bank, and USAID. Najma studied Economics at London School of Economics and International Relations at Columbia University, NewYork. She tweets at @MinhasNajma.


    Generated Summary:

    Main Topic: Iran's decision to disable GPS across its territory and adopt China's Beidou (Bato) satellite navigation system, and the implications of this shift for U.S. dominance in space and global geopolitics.

    Key Points:

    • Iran's Shift: Iran has disabled GPS and adopted China's Beidou, a geopolitical statement driven by concerns over cyber warfare, electronic jamming, and dependence on Western-dominated systems.
    • Reasons for the Shift:
      • Rising cyber warfare threats and tensions with the US and Israel.
      • Geostrategic alignment with China, which offers technical superiority in some areas.
      • A scandal involving alleged leaks of Iranian officials' locations via WhatsApp and Instagram.
    • GPS Origins and Dominance: GPS, built and controlled by the US military, became the backbone of global navigation. The US unlocked high precision for civilian access in 2000, fueling the growth of smartphones, Uber, and precision agriculture.
    • China's Beidou as a Competitor: China developed Beidou after realizing its military vulnerability during the 1996 Taiwan Strait crisis. Beidou now rivals GPS, with more satellites and ground stations, offering better positioning accuracy in some regions and unique features like short message communication.
    • Beidou's Capabilities: Beidou offers high accuracy, anti-jamming protections, and short message communication. It powers over 1.5 billion users daily and is integrated into China's Belt and Road Initiative.
    • Implications for Iran: Beidou provides Iran with a secure, independent navigation network, enhancing the precision of its military operations and strengthening its economic resilience under sanctions.
    • Future Trends: China aims to make Beidou the world's go-to system by 2035. The US is upgrading its GPS system, but these upgrades offer only moderate improvements.

    Highlights:

    • Iran's move is not just a tech upgrade but a geopolitical realignment, signaling a shift away from Western digital hegemony.
    • Beidou is becoming a first-choice alternative for countries seeking political independence.
    • The US Space Force acknowledges that GPS is lagging in updates.
    • Beidou's short message communication feature is a unique strategic capability not offered by GPS.
    • The video poses the question of whether more countries will follow Iran's lead and adopt Beidou.

    About Channel:

    Deep diving into major regional and international issues to drill down an understand the how, why, what and where!

  • cross-posted from: https://lemmy.world/post/32183144

    Generated Summary below:


    Video Description:

    Iran has just shut off GPS across its territory — and switched to China’s Beidou satellite system. Why now? What does it mean for U.S. dominance in space-based navigation and warfare?
    In this episode of GVS Deep Dive, Najma Minhas unpacks Iran’s bold strategic pivot — and why it may mark the beginning of the end for America’s global GPS monopoly. From WhatsApp tracking scandals and drone warfare to China’s high-precision Beidou system and Belt & Road integration, this decision carries major military and geopolitical consequences.

    Watch till the end to understand:
    Why GPS was always a tool of U.S. soft power

    How the 1996 Taiwan Strait crisis pushed China to develop Beidou

    What makes Beidou uniquely powerful in battlefield environments

    How Iran and the Global South are quietly building independence from Western tech

    Will more countries ditch GPS and align with China’s Beidou system?

    #GVSDeepDive #Beidou #IranGPS #ChinaTech #Geopolitics #SatelliteWars

    Do give your comments below. Subscribe and Share our video.

    Najma tweets @MinhasNajma

    Najma Minhas is Managing Editor, Global Village Space. She has worked with National Economic Research Associates (NERA) in New York, Lehman Brothers in London and Standard Chartered Bank in Pakistan. Before launching GVS, she worked as a consultant with World Bank, and USAID. Najma studied Economics at London School of Economics and International Relations at Columbia University, NewYork. She tweets at @MinhasNajma.


    Generated Summary:

    Main Topic: Iran's decision to disable GPS across its territory and adopt China's Beidou (Bato) satellite navigation system, and the implications of this shift for U.S. dominance in space and global geopolitics.

    Key Points:

    • Iran's Shift: Iran has disabled GPS and adopted China's Beidou, a geopolitical statement driven by concerns over cyber warfare, electronic jamming, and dependence on Western-dominated systems.
    • Reasons for the Shift:
      • Rising cyber warfare threats and tensions with the US and Israel.
      • Geostrategic alignment with China, which offers technical superiority in some areas.
      • A scandal involving alleged leaks of Iranian officials' locations via WhatsApp and Instagram.
    • GPS Origins and Dominance: GPS, built and controlled by the US military, became the backbone of global navigation. The US unlocked high precision for civilian access in 2000, fueling the growth of smartphones, Uber, and precision agriculture.
    • China's Beidou as a Competitor: China developed Beidou after realizing its military vulnerability during the 1996 Taiwan Strait crisis. Beidou now rivals GPS, with more satellites and ground stations, offering better positioning accuracy in some regions and unique features like short message communication.
    • Beidou's Capabilities: Beidou offers high accuracy, anti-jamming protections, and short message communication. It powers over 1.5 billion users daily and is integrated into China's Belt and Road Initiative.
    • Implications for Iran: Beidou provides Iran with a secure, independent navigation network, enhancing the precision of its military operations and strengthening its economic resilience under sanctions.
    • Future Trends: China aims to make Beidou the world's go-to system by 2035. The US is upgrading its GPS system, but these upgrades offer only moderate improvements.

    Highlights:

    • Iran's move is not just a tech upgrade but a geopolitical realignment, signaling a shift away from Western digital hegemony.
    • Beidou is becoming a first-choice alternative for countries seeking political independence.
    • The US Space Force acknowledges that GPS is lagging in updates.
    • Beidou's short message communication feature is a unique strategic capability not offered by GPS.
    • The video poses the question of whether more countries will follow Iran's lead and adopt Beidou.

    About Channel:

    Deep diving into major regional and international issues to drill down an understand the how, why, what and where!

    How TF can you shut down GPS for just a country? That's not how it works. And the US doesn't get paid or sees your position or anything when you use their GPS. It's an entirely passive system.

  • How TF can you shut down GPS for just a country? That's not how it works. And the US doesn't get paid or sees your position or anything when you use their GPS. It's an entirely passive system.

    Iran could decide to purge itself of all GPS-reliant devices and use Beidou devices instead. They could go the extra mile and intentionally jam the GPS frequencies in its territory (or even broadcast their own signal to confuse receivers in enemy bombs), as long as those frequencies are not also used by Beidou.

    But you're right in that GPS is a global system and the US is raining down RF everywhere in the world, whether the people there like it or not.

  • Iran could decide to purge itself of all GPS-reliant devices and use Beidou devices instead. They could go the extra mile and intentionally jam the GPS frequencies in its territory (or even broadcast their own signal to confuse receivers in enemy bombs), as long as those frequencies are not also used by Beidou.

    But you're right in that GPS is a global system and the US is raining down RF everywhere in the world, whether the people there like it or not.

    They stop using GPS recievers, therefore nothing for GPS to connect to.

    Its a slow transition, but it is one of magnitude. The US could shut down the satilites over Iran, like Starlink did it with Russia/Ukraine.

    They are preparing for that, and mostly for the US to loose the power to potentially do it. It matters in case of all out war.

  • They stop using GPS recievers, therefore nothing for GPS to connect to.

    Its a slow transition, but it is one of magnitude. The US could shut down the satilites over Iran, like Starlink did it with Russia/Ukraine.

    They are preparing for that, and mostly for the US to loose the power to potentially do it. It matters in case of all out war.

    It's stupid to not just use all the available systems. Don't just support Beidou. Use Beidou, Galileo (European), GLONASS (Russia) and GPS. Makes lock on faster, increases precision and helps if one doesn't work for whatever reason.

    The US cannot just shutdown Iran's usage. That would impact all other countries as well. GPS consists of only about 30 satellites for the whole world. Starlink satellites are much much lower and can thus be more easily associated with one country.

  • It's stupid to not just use all the available systems. Don't just support Beidou. Use Beidou, Galileo (European), GLONASS (Russia) and GPS. Makes lock on faster, increases precision and helps if one doesn't work for whatever reason.

    The US cannot just shutdown Iran's usage. That would impact all other countries as well. GPS consists of only about 30 satellites for the whole world. Starlink satellites are much much lower and can thus be more easily associated with one country.

    Echoing this, civilian GNSS is a passive system, and I'm all for redundancy, you should be using all four constellations for the highest accuracy and fastest lock.

  • Echoing this, civilian GNSS is a passive system, and I'm all for redundancy, you should be using all four constellations for the highest accuracy and fastest lock.

    Yes, you should use it for the fastest lock, but if your interest is to keep the US out of influence, ofc they would do it.

    Either that, or they do it to please China hoping for an ally. Second option might be their played hand, even if it doesnt work.

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    Same, especially when searching technical or niche topics. Since there aren't a ton of results specific to the topic, mostly semi-related results will appear in the first page or two of a regular (non-Gemini) Google search, just due to the higher popularity of those webpages compared to the relevant webpages. Even the relevant webpages will have lots of non-relevant or semi-relevant information surrounding the answer I'm looking for. I don't know enough about it to be sure, but Gemini is probably just scraping a handful of websites on the first page, and since most of those are only semi-related, the resulting summary is a classic example of garbage in, garbage out. I also think there's probably something in the code that looks for information that is shared across multiple sources and prioritizing that over something that's only on one particular page (possibly the sole result with the information you need). Then, it phrases the summary as a direct answer to your query, misrepresenting the actual information on the pages they scraped. At least Gemini gives sources, I guess. The thing that gets on my nerves the most is how often I see people quote the summary as proof of something without checking the sources. It was bad before the rollout of Gemini, but at least back then Google was mostly scraping text and presenting it with little modification, along with a direct link to the webpage. Now, it's an LLM generating text phrased as a direct answer to a question (that was also AI-generated from your search query) using AI-summarized data points scraped from multiple webpages. It's obfuscating the source material further, but I also can't help but feel like it exposes a little of the behind-the-scenes fuckery Google has been doing for years before Gemini. How it bastardizes your query by interpreting it into a question, and then prioritizes homogeneous results that agree on the "answer" to your "question". For years they've been doing this to a certain extent, they just didn't share how they interpreted your query.
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